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UNFPA’S
2008 STATE OF
WORLD POPULATION: Focusing on the Numbers by
Jane Roberts:
13/12/2008
(MaximsNews Network)
UNITED
NATIONS - / MaximsNews Network / 13
December 2008 --
Let’s first look at the numbers contained in UNFPA’s
2008 State of World Population (SWOP) entitled Reaching Common Ground:
Culture, Gender and Human Rights.
According
to the United Nations Population Division, the world’s total population is 6.7
billion, projected to be 9.1 billion by 2050. There are now 1.5 billion people
between the ages of 10 and 24, seventy percent of whom are in developing
countries.
Thus
there is an established momentum toward population growth because these 1.5
billion people are in or approaching their reproductive years. And more than 95
percent of the growth in population is going to come in the countries least able
to cope.
Thoraya
Obaid, executive director of UNFPA, lamented that the family planning share of
the overall world reproductive health budget had fallen from 55 percent to only
7 percent in recent years.
Access
to family planning itself, states Obaid, would in important ways contribute to
the Millennium Development Goals numbers 4 and 5 of reducing child mortality and
improving maternal health. She laments that MDG 5 of improving maternal health
is generating the least resources and lagging the furthest behind.
UNFPA’s
2008 State of World Population (SWOP) report
divides countries into three categories. By 2050 the “more developed”
regions’ population is projected to grow from 1.22 to 1.24 billion with
a total fertility rate (TFR) of 1.6 children per woman.
The
“less developed” regions’ population is expected to increase from 5.52 to
7.94 billion with a TFR of 2.5.
The
“least developed” countries’ population is projected to grow from 824
million to 1.74 billion with a TFR of 4.6.
The
population of the vast continent of
Asia
is expected to increase 4 billion to 5.2 billion with a TFR of 2.3; Latin America and the
Caribbean
is projected to grow from 580 million to 770 million with a TFR of 2.35.
The
United States
is expected to increase from 308 million to 402 million with a TFR of 2.05.
Immigration will certainly account for some of this growth in the
U.S.
The
population of Africa
will likely grow from 987 million to 1.2 billion with a TFR of 4.6. If one is
speaking only of sub-Saharan
Africa, then the total fertility rate is well over 5 children per woman.
Let’s
talk about
Africa. On 23 September of this year I received a Global Population Policy Update
Issue #84 from UNFPA which serves as the secretariat for the International
Parliamentarians’ Conference on the implementation of the International
Conference on Population and Development.
In
1994 ICPD promised universal access to reproductive health including family
planning by 2015.
In
Policy Update #84, there were 39 numbered items number 23 of which said: “We
recognize that Africa faces a number of serious challenges, including poverty,
hunger, climate change, and land degradation and desertification, rapid
urbanization, lack of adequate water supplies and energy supply, and HIV/AIDS,
malaria, tuberculosis and other endemic diseases.
“We
commend African countries for their leadership in addressing those challenges
and charting the way forward for the region in the context of the African Union
as well as through national and sub-regional plans and strategies.”
Item
29 stated: We reaffirm the universal commitment to promoting gender equality and
the empowerment of women, recognizing that they are key actors in development.
Item
30 stated: We resolve to increase our efforts to reduce maternal and child
mortality and reaffirm the commitment to achieve universal access to
reproductive health by 2015. (Family planning was not specifically mentioned.)
Shouldn’t
the word “population” have appeared somewhere in the mix? With all the
“challenges” listed in item 23, shouldn’t population stabilization be
number one on the list?
Shouldn’t
women’s empowerment and equality be right up at the top of the list?
Shouldn’t
family planning be specifically mentioned when using the general term of
reproductive health?
Kofi
Annan, since his retirement as Secretary-General of the United Nations, has been
in the forefront of efforts to make
Africa
self-sufficient in food production. He states clearly that greater investment
in women’s rights and in education and health, including reproductive health
and family planning, is of paramount importance in
Africa
and in the world in general.
The
important numbers in the back of the 2008 State of World Population
tell the real story.
In
summary, I fear that the United Nations will become, with 9.1 billion people
struggling to survive, hardly more than a crisis response, crisis management
organization.
My
next column will be a commentary on the main theme of this year’s report,
working within cultures to change cultures when human rights are at stake.
-- Jane Roberts
Labels:
United
Nations, U.N., Jane
Roberts, United
Nations Population Fund, UNFPA,
Thoraya
Obaid, family
planning, women's
rights and education, reproductive
health, 2008
State of World Population, Culture,
Gender and Human Rights, United
Nations Population Division, International
Conference on Population and Development,
ICPD,
Kofi
Annan, population
growth, MaximsNews
Network,
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