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MEHRI
MADARSHAHI: BARACK OBAMA: THE WORLD'S CANDIDATE: 05/11/2008 (MaximsNews
Network)
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UNITED
NATIONS - / MaximsNews Network / 05
November 2008 -- If
it were up to the world, the next president of the United States would be
Barack Obama. In country after country, Obama topped polls often by strong
margins: 70 per cent in Germany, 75 Percent in China, 70 per cent in France,
62 per cent in Britain, 70 percent in Nordic countries and well more than 50
percent in Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Obama has become the World’s
candidate.
This
is historic and unprecedented enthusiasm from ordinary people throughout the
world: Asia is claiming him for his Indonesian childhood, Africa is owning him
for his Kenyan father and his ancestral background, the Middle East is vying
for him for his middle name – and his mother has been a white American woman
from the state of Kansas.
Europe
is thrilled by the prospect of ending the Bush era, with the legacy of two
wars and a global financial crisis. Europe and the world are looking for a
fresh start with a US President with whom the world can identify and who
advocates multilateral solutions to the prevailing problems.
As
the French State Secretary for Foreign Affairs, Rama Yade, recently stated “The
Obama adventure is what makes America magical”. Constanze Steltzenmueller of
the German Marshall Fund brought it to the point in a recent discussion that
“In a globalized world, America’s President can shape lives worldwide. He
is our president too”. Searching for a “French Barack Obama” was the
headline in a “Le Monde” article last week…
Well,
our wholehearted congratulations Mr. President-elect, for this unprecedented
popularity and global respect that you have garnered and which you command as
a result of your intellect, intelligent leadership and your humility and
humanity.
Your
election gives rise to hopes for restoration of globally shared values like
solidarity, respect for human rights and democratic values, tolerance, mutual
understanding and more.
Values
that have been given a bad name over the past few years. Today, America puts
its seal of approval on a great, exciting and unprecedented moment in its
history.
In
the process of presidential elections, it seems all politics is local, and
running for president is rather like running for “mayor of America”. Each
candidate is expected to promise to make his constituents’ lives better,
safer and richer.
That’s
why issues related to job loss, unemployment, healthcare and income tax took a
better part of the televised presidential debates. Judging from the tenor of
the campaign’s final days, America once again stayed the course and elected
a new leader of the world for entirely local reasons.
Thus,
the trillion-dollar question today is: how long will the honeymoon and the
excitement last – at home and abroad?
At
home:
Among
the immediate and short-term challenges looming high and far is the calamitous
economic recession linked with the virtual collapse of the banking and credit
system (afflicting both the US and the rest of the world).
This
causes an increasing loss of jobs and soaring unemployment rates, falling
consumer confidence and spending, decreasing tax receipts and ultimately maybe
even deflation.
Add
to that the unabated Medicare crisis (which began running a deficit this
year), the collapse of the housing market with foreclosures and personal
bankruptcies, high energy price and uncertain energy supply as well as the
burden caused by the biggest wartime deployment of US troops since the Vietnam
war.
After
the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the most costly bailout of a private
company, AIG, the immediate “rescue plans” had to be decided in a hasty
manner.
The
plan aimed primarily at stabilizing – even if only temporarily - the banking
and insurance systems and to restore partial confidence in the financial
markets again.
The
US lawmakers dipped into US$700 billion tax payer money and other
industrialized and developed countries brought to the table more than a
trillion dollars to shore up the ailing financial sector.
And
the process of bailing out the banking system started in Australia where
billions of Australian dollars were injected into the collapsing credit
market.
Great
Britain followed suit when Gordon Brown’s government decided to save 4 major
banks by pledging 40 billion pounds. Next was Sarkozy’s France rushing with
some 300 billion Euros to the rescue and Merkel’s Germany with over 100
billion Euros.
Further
rescue packages were then bundled especially by the EU and other countries
like Russia, India, Brazil, and many more. The US Congress approved its record
bailout without much conditionality and without ensuring that the industries
concerned would be managed and governed with more accountability and
transparency and subject to strict and stiff regulatory measures.
It
is estimated that every living American will need to be taxed close to US$3000
in order to payback the US$ 700 billion provisions. Legitimate questions are
arising: does the Government and Congress only bail out the big wigs, while
the poorer segments of society are doomed to suffer from the consequences of
unpaid mortgages and lost jobs.
These
swift actions are to be considered only as a temporary band-aid for the
bleeding world economy. Obama as the President should keep this matter under
close scrutiny and ensure that the temporary hasty actions are complemented
with more coordinated worldwide decisions to regulate the run away train of
global banking and financial system.
What
were the underlying causes of this calamity?
Arguably,
it was partly due to a slowing economy, which was over-medicated by the “stimulus
package”, prescribed by Bush administration. Mingling billions for the Iraq
and Afghanistan wars, financing ill-advised tax cuts, deregulation measures,
low interest rates and a rise in inflation-a recipe for disaster!
As
the Democratic nominee, Barack Obama proposed a series of additional steps to
the bailout plan of the Congress including a 90-day moratorium on home
foreclosures and a tax credit to spur job creation.
Nevertheless,
restoring consumer confidence and finding a solution for the several trillion
dollar federal deficit -- which rivals that of the post World War II period --
is key. These are bound to be high on the agenda of President Obama.
Abroad:
On
January 20, 2009, the President Elect will be thrust headlong into a withering
array of foreign policy crises, which he must tackle.
The
disastrous foreign policy of the past eight years will demand their toll: two
unfinished wars; thriving Al Qaida and Taliban insurgencies in the
Afghanistan-Iraq-Pakistan; the disposition of the Guantanamo facility and its
255 prisoners; relations with China, Russia, Iran, the Israel-Palestinian
conflict and relations with Arab States; and then the European dossier.
In
recent years, America has lost international standing among its natural allies
such as Britain, France, Mexico or Canada. Other problems such as climate
change, environmental degradations, rampant poverty and infectious diseases as
well as a global food crisis affect American national interest and security
and call for immediate attention.
This
bewildering array of dangerous challenges will be on the foreign policy front
burner.
In
Afghanistan, the unfinished war in the wake of the September 11th attack
in New York has flared over a major insurgency.
Questions
and uncertainties on the size of military buildup and the extent of
empowerment granted to the present corrupt and ineffectual central Government,
as well as cross boarder insurgencies, that have destabilized the newly
elected civilian Government in Pakistan, are likely to be exacerbated by the
arrival of winter and food shortages.
Iraq
is in a volatile situation and in need of an immediate intelligent and
practical policy approach. Five years after the US invasion, there is still no
clear-cut solution on what to do with a deeply divided country and how to deal
with its immediate neighbors.
Obama
is able to grasp the fact that any solution must be comprehensive and agreed
upon by all involved. The approach of the Bush Administration will no longer
do.
The
resentfulness of Pakistani leaders to the unilateral US fight against rebels
and terrorists has led to an increasing anti-American sentiment in Pakistan,
creating a mixed bag of difficulties requiring immediate attention.
Because
Pakistan is a nuclear power, if its situation were to escalate into a
full-scale civil war the world may face a civil conflict involving nuclear
weapons. Will President Obama avoid military interventions and be able to
successfully pursue other options such as collaborative efforts in the region
to defuse the problems?
The
ability to tackle the deteriorating security situation in Afghanistan and to
pursue militants is "linked to the ability to make progress on political
reconciliation in Iraq and the ability to draw down there".
The
Bush administration's resistance to engaging foes has left limited many
diplomatic options. President Obama could make a fresh start by returning to
high level diplomacy with all nations, allies and perceived enemies alike.
Russia's
ouster from the Group of Eight in response to Moscow's August war with Georgia
as proposed by Mr. McCain would not be a solution. The cold war period is over
and is unlikely to be recast under whatever pretext. US and Russia are natural
allies in their war on terrorism and against the proliferation of nuclear
weapons around the world.
Repairing
ties with traditional allies, including many European countries that became
strained under the Bush Administration will be another priority area.
One
thing is clear; the President-elect has tough tasks ahead.
Not
only must he work toward re-elevating America's standing in the world but he
will also need to demonstrate to an increasingly frustrated – and fearful
– global public that his policies are a real change from the past eight
years.
Can
the new President bring the world together to work and interact “as one”?
Would that be too much for any President to expect and to deliver?
A
rude awakening with dashed hopes would be most unfortunate for a world that is
ready to be led. Let us hope that the new President will be blessed with the
same unflappable and open-minded spirit in which he has conducted his election
campaign.
Labels:
United
Nations, U.N.,
MaximsNews,
Barack Obama, George
W. Bush, Global
Financial Crisis, Mehri
Madarshahi
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