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INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP: CRISIS WATCH
NUMBER 53: 06/01/08
(MaximsNews Network)
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UNITED
NATIONS - / MaximsNews Network / - 06
January 2007 -- Seven
actual or potential conflict situations around the world deteriorated in
December 2007, according to the new issue of CrisisWatch, released
today.
In
Pakistan, the 27 December assassination of former prime minister and opposition
leader Benazir Bhutto threw the country deeper into political turmoil. Ensuing
street violence killed some 50.
Credible
reports of election rigging in Kenya’s 27 December presidential polls sparked
violence in several parts of the country.
Incumbent
President Mwai Kibaki was reinstated despite an early lead by opponent Raila
Odinga. Over 300 were killed by vigilante groups and police.
Two
suicide bombers killed up to 60 in UN and government buildings in Algiers on 11
December, with five more killed in further attacks.
Fighting
worsened in Chad between Khartoum-backed rebels and the military.
The
political crisis in Lebanon deepened with the 12 December assassination of
General Francois Hajj and the presidency vacant since President Emile Lahoud’s
term ended on 23 November.
The
situation also deteriorated in the Basque Country (Spain) and Kyrgyzstan.
The
situation improved in Nepal in December as the Maoists rejoined the government
on 30 December.
For
January 2008, CrisisWatch identifies Kenya and Pakistan as Conflict
Risk Alerts, or situations at particular risk of new or significantly escalated
conflict in the coming month.
For
January 2008, CrisisWatch identifies the DR Congo as a Conflict Resolution
Opportunity with a government-sponsored peace conference for the Kivus due 6
January.
DECEMBER
2007 TRENDS
Deteriorated
Situations
Algeria, Basque Country (Spain), Chad, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Lebanon, Pakistan
Improved
Situations
Nepal
Unchanged
Situations
Afghanistan, Albania, Algeria, Angola, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Bangladesh,
Belarus, Bolivia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Burundi, Cameroon, Central African
Republic, Chechnya (Russia), Colombia, Côte d'Ivoire, Cyprus, Democratic
Republic of Congo, Ecuador, Egypt, Ethiopia, Ethiopia/Eritrea, Georgia,
Guatemala, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, India (non-Kashmir), Indonesia, Iran,
Iraq, Israel/Occupied Territories, Kashmir, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, Liberia,
Macedonia, Mali, Mauritania, Moldova, Morocco, Myanmar/Burma, Nagorno-Karabakh
(Azerbaijan), Niger, Nigeria, North Caucasus (non-Chechnya), Northern Ireland
(UK), North Korea, Peru, Philippines, Rwanda, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Serbia,
Sierra Leone, Somalia, Somaliland (Somalia), Sri Lanka, Sudan, Syria,
Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uganda, Ukraine,
Uzbekistan, Venezuela, Western Sahara, Zimbabwe
JANUARY
2008 OUTLOOK
Conflict
Risk Alerts
Kenya, Pakistan
Conflict
Resolution Opportunity
DR Congo
*NOTE: CrisisWatch
indicators – up and down arrows, conflict risk alerts, and conflict resolution
opportunities – are intended to reflect changes within countries or situations
from month to month, not comparisons between countries. For example, no
"conflict risk alert" is given for a country where violence has been
occurring and is expected to continue in the coming month: such an indicator is
given only where new or significantly escalated violence is feared.
Labels: United
Nations, U.N.,
~~~~~
MaximsNews.com, An Independent Voice from the
U.N., provides commentary and analysis from
leading world figures: King Abdullah II
(Jordan), HRH Prince Zeid Ra'ad Zeid Al-Hussein
(Jordan), Sir Brian Urquhart, Hans Blix, Amb.
Richard Holbrooke, Anwar Ibrahim, Bianca Jagger,
Dr. Nafis Sadik, Shashi Tharoor, Thoraya Ahmed Obaid, Noeleen Heyzer,
Masood Haider, Kerry
Kennedy, Ian Williams, Stephen Schlesinger, Sen.
Timothy E. Wirth, Marc Morial, Amb. Jayantha
Dhanapala (Sri Lanka), Amb. Pierre Schori
(Sweden), Amb. William H. Luers, Susan Roosevelt
Weld, Rory Kennedy, Mehri
Madarshahi, J. Michael Adams, Gloria Feldt,
Jeffrey Laurenti, Rodney D. Smith, Ashley
Bommer, Rory
O'Connor, Genevieve Stamper, Max Stamper and
others.
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