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by
Marc Morial, President of the National
Urban League, former two-term Mayor of
New Orleans, former President of the U.S.
Conference of Mayors and author of To Be
EQUAL. Marc Morial is a Columnist
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MARC
MORIAL: A NON-WHITE, WOMAN U.S.
PRESIDENT? (MaximsNews.com,
U.N.) |
UNITED NATIONS - / www.MaximsNews.com,
UN/ - 09 November 2006 --
There is no doubt that the 2006 midterm
elections have set the stage for some historic
developments for women and minorities in the
political arena. The Democratic Party’s
success this past Election Day has paved the way
for a number of firsts.
With
the party’s takeover of the U.S. House of
Representatives, Rep. Nancy Pelosi stands a very
strong chance of becoming the first female
Speaker of the House, while Rep. Charles Rangel
is poised to take over the helm of the powerful
House Ways
and Means Committee – the first African
American to have the job.
And
in
Massachusetts, Deval Patrick, a former official
with the Civil Rights Commission under President
Clinton, won his bid to become the second
African American governor in
U.S.
history after former Virginia Gov. Doug Wilder,
who served in the 1990s.
By
the same token, Tennessee Rep. Harold Ford, Jr.,
who ran a remarkable campaign, lost in his bid
to become the first African American senator
from the South since Reconstruction. Ohio
Secretary of State Kenneth Blackwell, Maryland
Lt. Gov. Michael Steele and former Pittsburgh
Steeler Lynn Swan were all defeated in their
respective races for governor.
And
in
Michigan, voters gave affirmative-action foes a
victory by approving Proposal 2, which would bar
use of preferences by state colleges and
universities as well as governmental agencies.
But
the recent electoral outcomes still beg the
question – if the nation is willing to have an
African American lead one of Capitol Hill’s
most influential committees, a black female
Secretary of State and a female Speaker of the
House, is it ready to elect a female and/or
African American to be president?
According
to a recent Gallup Survey, the answer is a
resounding yes: 58 percent said they believed
the
United States
was ready to elect a black president and 61
percent – a female. But are voters ready to
put their vote where their mouth is?
With
over 9,000 public officeholders nationwide,
blacks have made major progress on the political
front since the civil rights movement of the
1960s.
In
1967, Edward Brooke of
Massachusetts
became the first popularly elected African
American to serve in the U.S. Senate. In 1969,
the Congressional Black Caucus was formed with
13 members. In 1972, New York Rep. Shirley
Chisholm, the first black woman elected to the
U.S. House, showed that a black woman could
throw her hat into the presidential ring “in
spite of hopeless odds” to demonstrate her
“sheer will and refusal to accept the status quo."
By
1984, Reverend Jesse Jackson galvanized the
black community and liberal democratic base in
bringing his candidacy from the fringe to the
mainstream within the Democratic Party.
"White
folks were indignant that he was running,"
said Eric Easter, who worked on both of
Jackson's campaigns, in a 2003 Village
Voice story. "And then black folks got
indignant that they were indignant. . . . There
was this very strong visceral reaction to his
presence in the race, over whether this was the
right time and right place for an African
American to be, and that galvanized his
base."
By
1988, he more than doubled his 1984 results,
winning 11 primaries before losing to
Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis. In 1996,
Alan Keyes ran for the GOP nod but had better
success in 2000, taking 14 percent of votes in
the
Iowa
caucuses and 21 percent in the
Utah
primary. Some news organizations even declared
him the winner of the presidential debates.
In
2004, the Reverend Al Sharpton and former Sen.
Carol Moseley Braun, the first black woman
elected to the Senate, vied for the Democratic
nomination, collecting few delegates.
Not
since 1988 has a minority candidate seen
Jackson
’s success. Now, two decades later, Illinois
Sen. Barack Obama may be just the candidate to
make history.
Largely
unknown in 2004, Obama emerged from a very
crowded field to win a U.S. Senate primary,
paving the way for keynote speaking opportunity
at his party’s national convention. His
performance caused the nation to take note, and
his subsequent landslide over Keyes sealed the
deal.
A
December 2005 article in The
New Republic argued that Obama would have
his best chance of winning the White House in
2008, with no incumbent president or vice
president in the race.
TIME
magazine recently put Obama on its cover with
the headline -- “Why Barack Obama Could Be The
Next President.” An editorial in the Chicago Tribune compared a possible Obama bid to President John F.
Kennedy’s successful run in 1960.
According
to a recent CNN poll, the Illinois Democrat
trailed only New York Sen. Hillary Clinton in a
list of potential Democratic presidential
contenders. Of registered Democrats, he drew
support from 17 percent – compared to
Clinton
’s 28 percent. He still outpolled former Vice
President Al Gore (13 percent), 2006 Vice
Presidential hopeful John Edwards (13 percent)
and Sen. John Kerry (12 percent).
On
the GOP side, neither Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice nor Keyes was even included as
a possible presidential candidate.
But
does an African American like Obama or Keyes or
even Rice have a realistic chance of taking the
White House in 2008 or 2112 or even 2116?
Or is the hype just fodder for pundits
and journalists?
A
study that appeared in the latest Quarterly
Journal of Economics concluded that the
U.S.
electorate is still hesitant about voting blacks
into congressional office. It found that whites
of both major parties are less likely to vote
for their parties’ candidates when they are
black and that Republicans are 25-percent more
likely to cross party lines in senatorial
elections when the GOP candidate is black. And
in U.S. House elections, white Democrats are
38-percent-less likely to vote for black
candidates from their own party.
Can
Americans really look beyond race and gender
when it comes to choosing their national
leaders? That remains to be seen. Still, we can
be encouraged by the progress. It won’t be too
long before a person of color or woman does
serve our nation’s highest office – or at
least that is my dream.
MarcMorial@MaximsNews.com
~~~~~~
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