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UNITED NATIONS - / www.MaximsNews.com
UN/ - 25 August 2006 - Moves
calculated to achieve a specific aim receive
unexpected responses and after bloody conflicts
parties involved realize that all have
lost. Vice-President
Cheney seems to have thought that American forces in President
Bush saw the occupation as a chance to make Are
the calculations how to get Led
by its five permanent great power members the U.N.
Security Council has urged Strangely,
the five seem to think that Do they not make a monumental miscalculation if they think that Iran would be prepared to do away with its best card without having received precise knowledge of what it will receive in return, e.g., guarantees against bombardment of the kind Lebanon has experienced. Do
they intend to escalate threats if In
the case of the war in It
is harder to discern what they really sought to achieve.
First, what did the Some
have maintained that the aim was to provoke However, those who planned the kidnappings could hardly have calculated to cause such a brisk and steep escalation as the one which took place. As suggested by ex-president Carter it seems more probable that – as many times before – the kidnappings aimed at securing an exchange of prisoners. If so, the calculation was evidently wrong. A
relatively inexperienced Israeli government rejected any
exchanges, chose to strike hard and to escalate. Perhaps
in the end there will be an exchange of prisoners but
Hisbolla could hardly have foreseen that it would need to
pay for it by leaving their positions in What
role has It
seems unlikely that even militant leaders in Was this a successful calculation? Hezbollah, to be sure, has shown strength and even their enemies in the Arab world are forced by their public opinion to support the movement when it stands up against Israel and the U.S. However,
in the end Lastly: what was the Israeli government’s aim when it responded to the kidnappings by rapidly escalating retribution, which caused death or injury to many soldiers and civilians and forced many more to leave their home. There
is no doubt that both Prime
Minister Olmert felt this aim had strong support in
Israeli public opinion and in the U.S. government, which
was pleased to see However,
the cost in lives and suffering on the Israeli side
increased and so did the awareness that Israel would not
be able to destroy Hezbollah – only force it to move
further away from the border to Israel. Dare
we hope that the end of the Lebanon war, which we may be
seeing and in which no one of the interested parties has
achieved what they seem to have aimed for, will in the
future increase their readiness to enter into talks
without first going through a phase of suffering, death
and destruction? Iran
’s enrichment of uranium will be the first test. ~~~ MaximsNews.com, An Independent Voice from the U.N., provides commentary and analysis from leading world figures: King Abdullah II (Jordan), Sir Brian Urquhart, Hans Blix, Amb. Richard Holbrooke, Anwar Ibrahim, Bianca Jagger, Shashi Tharoor, Kerry Kennedy, Ian Williams, Stephen Schlesinger, Sen. Timothy E. Wirth, Marc Morial, Barbara Crossette, Amb. Pierre Schori (Sweden), Amb. William H. Luers, Mehri Madarshahi, Gloria Feldt, Jeffrey Laurenti, Rodney D. Smith, Rory O'Connor, Genevieve Stamper, Max Stamper and others.
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